Vacatures Auditors en Accountants

Banks and pandemic risk: Conditions before COVID-19

Bron: Solid Professionals - 02 juli 2020

In a series of three blogposts we will zoom in on how banks have been preparing for the current pandemic and how regulatory requirements and global legislative institutions influenced banks to cope with this situation. 

Our first blog will focus on the (macro-) economic and geo-political situation before the pandemic became world news. 

A projected economic growth of 1,3% in GDP (Gross Domestic Product) and an almost historically low unemployment rate of 3,6% (CPB, 2019). These were the projections by the CPB (Centraal Plan Bureau) for the Netherlands in December 2019 for the subsequent year. In March 2020, only three months after their earlier projections, they came up with four scenarios for the Dutch economy based on the persistence of the COVID-19 virus. Now, the most positive scenario entailed a decline of 2.1% in GDP and the most pessimistic one a decline of 7,7% in GDP (CPB, 2020). 

The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on our national economy, as well as our daily lives, has been devastating and is unmatched in proportion to the last century. In three of the four scenarios the economic decrease would be more severe than that of the Financial Crisis of 2008. 

The COVID-19 pandemic leaves its mark on a global scale. Unemployment figures in the United States amounted to a staggering 14.7% during April, which is nearly 50% higher than during the financial crisis of 2008 (Financial Times, 2020).  

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